Final
43.8% left
Germany
EnglandWonWorld Cup simulator predictor
Simulate the whole 2026 tournament.
Run the 48-team format from group stage to champion with quick simulations, visible probabilities, and a latest simulated path.
Champion distribution
Top teams after 250 runs
Latest champion
England- 1
BrazilBRA / seed rank 3- Win
- 15.6%
- Final
- 25.6%
- SF
- 34.0%
- 2
FranceFRA / seed rank 2- Win
- 14.8%
- Final
- 24.8%
- SF
- 32.4%
- 3
ArgentinaARG / seed rank 1- Win
- 12.8%
- Final
- 21.2%
- SF
- 28.4%
- 4
SpainESP / seed rank 4- Win
- 10.8%
- Final
- 21.6%
- SF
- 36.0%
- 5GermanyGER / seed rank 7
- Win
- 7.2%
- Final
- 15.6%
- SF
- 29.6%
- 6EnglandENG / seed rank 5
- Win
- 6.8%
- Final
- 12.4%
- SF
- 16.4%
- 7
PortugalPOR / seed rank 6- Win
- 6.0%
- Final
- 11.2%
- SF
- 16.4%
- 8
BelgiumBEL / seed rank 9- Win
- 5.2%
- Final
- 10.4%
- SF
- 26.4%
- 9
NetherlandsNED / seed rank 8- Win
- 4.8%
- Final
- 8.4%
- SF
- 15.6%
- 10
UruguayURU / seed rank 10- Win
- 2.8%
- Final
- 7.6%
- SF
- 14.4%
Latest simulated path
GermanyEnglandWonSemi-final 1
43.8% leftBelgiumGermanyWonSemi-final 2
78.0% leftEnglandWon
JapanGroup snapshot
Group winners
- A
Mexico - B
Switzerland - C
Morocco - D
Paraguay - EGermany
- FNetherlands
- GBelgium
- HUruguay
- IFrance
- JArgentina
- KPortugal
- L
Croatia
Best third-place teams
- FJapan
- E
Côte d'Ivoire - J
Algeria - H
Saudi Arabia - D
Australia - K
Uzbekistan - I
Norway - G
New Zealand